Bitcoin Risk Index Steadies ⚡ – Market Awaits Fed’s Next Mov
币姥爷
Updated at: 2 hours ago
{"content":"Bitcoin Risk Index Steadies ⚡ – Market Awaits Fed’s Next Move
As markets prepare for tomorrow's crucial US Federal Reserve announcement, Bitcoin is trading over $115,000. The Fed meeting will clarify the macroeconomic outlook, affecting risk assets like cryptocurrencies this week.
The magnitude and speed of policy easing are unknown, but investors anticipate a rate decrease. A modest pivot like a 25-basis-point reduction signals economic adjustment confidence. However, more forceful measures may raise fears about the US economy, causing market instability. More than rates, analysts will watch for signs of quantitative easing, which might boost cash flows into risk markets.
Bitcoin stakes are high. Structural demand and institutional interest have kept the Bitcoin stable despite recent turmoil. Top analyst Axel Adler says the Bitcoin Risk Index is low, suggesting a tranquil market with few violent pullbacks or liquidations. Bulls have a cushion, but the Fed's decision might change everything.
Bitcoin Risk Index Shows Calm Before Fed Decision
According to Axel Adler, the Bitcoin Risk Index shows market stability. larger indexes indicate a larger risk of sudden pullbacks or liquidations than in the last three years. At 23%, the indicator shows the market is quiet and dramatic declines are unlikely.
Adler recalls a similar scenario between September and December 2023, when the index remained low and Bitcoin gained momentum.
Bitcoin remains resilient as it reaches a key range around $115,739 following a gradual comeback from early September lows. The chart shows BTC above the 50-day (blue) and 200-day (red) moving averages and pushing against the 100-day SMA (green), which is approaching $114,417. This is a key bull-bear battlefield.
BTC has stayed above the $114,500–$115,000 support zone despite intraday volatility, indicating buyer interest when prices fall. Bulls must recapture $123,217, the previous top and psychological barrier, to confirm a breakthrough toward $125,000 and beyond.
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