🚨 Powell’s speech just dropped some bombs. Here’s what you
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Updated at: 4 hours ago
{"content":"🚨 Powell’s speech just dropped some bombs. Here’s what you need to know:
1️⃣ Jobs: Looks stable on the surface, but immigration collapse = fragile balance. If demand cracks, unemployment could spike fast.
2️⃣ Inflation: Tariffs push prices up, overall still near target. But the real risk? 👉 policy mistakes could trigger second-wave inflation.
⚖️ Translation: The Fed is stuck in a dilemma. Tighten too much = jobs crash. Ease too fast = inflation comeback.
3️⃣ Policy pivot:
• 2020 AIT was for a “low inflation + low rates” world.
• 2025 = “high inflation + high rates.”
• AIT is dead. Back to flexible inflation targeting. (Yes, they admitted the old playbook doesn’t work anymore.)
4️⃣ Between the lines:
• Hikes are DONE. Cuts? Only if the data breaks.
• Tariffs = one-off shock, not a trigger for instant tightening.
• Shrinking labor supply → lower potential growth, higher long-run neutral rate (r).
5️⃣ Market takeaways:
• Treasuries: Yields won’t spike much higher, but forget 2010s ultra-low rates.
• Stocks: Consumers slowing, tariffs rising → earnings under pressure.
• USD & Bitcoin: Dollar strong short term, but if jobs tank → markets flip to rate-cut bets. Bitcoin loves liquidity swings.
🔥 Bottom line:
The Fed is at a crossroads. Dollar still strong… but the real breakout trade when the tide turns could be Bitcoin.
$ETH $BTC $BNB
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